GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook for the week – 13 to 17.06.2016 (Down on weak IIP data; L&T may gain)

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook for the week – 13 to 17.06.2016
(Down on weak IIP data; L&T may gain)


Shares of capital goods companies, except Larsen & Toubro Ltd, are largely expected to trade with a weak bias next week owing to negative sentiment on account of disappointing industrial output data. After market hours yesterday, the Central Statistics Office announced that the industrial output for April contracted 0.8% as against a growth of 3.0% a year ago, primarily on account of a sharp decline in the manufacturing and capital goods segments.

Output in the manufacturing sector, which accounts for three-fourths of the Index of Industrial Production, contracted 3.1% in April, compared with growth of 3.9% a year ago. Output in the capital goods segment, an indicator of investment and demand in the economy, contracted a whopping 24.9% in April, against growth of 5.5% a year ago.

Industrial capex activity could be a few quarters away, as capacity utilization for most companies a function of demand improvement remains weak. Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd is seen extending losses next week and the stock may hit a low of 115 rupees. The downward trend in shares of the state owned company is likely to continue and critical support for the stock is seen at 102 rupees.

Shares of Larsen & Toubro are expected to remain strong as the company has strong
order inflows and project execution in the construction segment which will likely offset headwinds from exposure to the capital goods sector.