GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Automobile Stocks Outlook for the week – 22 to 206.06.2015 (Short covering likely in auto stocks)

Automobile Stocks Outlook for the week – 22 to 206.06.2015
(Short covering likely in auto stocks)

Stocks of major automakers are seen tracking broader indices and are likely to trade with a positive bias next week after downward correction in most of past one month. While many automobile stocks fell as much as 10% in past one month, there was some recovery this week, which is seen holding strong.

The coming week, we would see some positive action as several auto stocks were trading near their crucial support levels, and some short covering was likely. A sector specific trigger for the industry would be rainfall, which has been around 10% above normal so far. The automobile sector would hope for good rains during July and August, which are essentially sowing months for the kharif crop.

The IMD (India Meteorological Department) has expressed concerns about rains in July and August. If the first couple of days of next week have no change in that forecast, auto stocks could be seen under pressure during the rest of the week.

Stocks of tractor manufacturers such as Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd would be affected by the forecast of the monsoon to a great extent, as sales depend almost directly on timely rains, translated as better revenues for farmers.

The counter of Hero Motocorp Ltd is seen positive for the week owing to the company revealing plans to launch two scooters in the country soon, along with a couple of motorcycle refreshes. He chose Hero Motocorp as his among automakers for the week.