IT Stocks Outlook for the week – 14 to 18.09.2015 (Seen in narrow band ahead of US Fed outcome)

IT Stocks Outlook for the week – 14 to 18.09.2015
(Seen in narrow band ahead of US Fed outcome)

Shares of information technology companies are expected to trade in a narrow band next week as
market remains cautious ahead of US Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The US Fed, which is
expected to meet on Sep 16-17, has not given a clear indication as to whether it will increase the
interest rate. Also, the rupee's volatility against the US dollar is expected to continue. The rupee,
which ended at 66.5375 a dollar yesterday, is likely to trade between 66 to 67 rupees per dollar.

Investors are expected to be cautious of taking any risk in the beginning of the next week as they
take note of consumer price and wholesale price inflation data and the outcome of Fed's decision.
Apart from stocks of the pharmaceutical sector, investors are expected to be cautious of any other sectors including information technology.

We are also advising against investing in Tech Mahindra Ltd and Tata Consultancy Services Ltd.
They do not see fresh triggers leading to upside for these companies in the near future. "Tech M is unlikely to report strong US$ revenue growth compared to peers over the next 1-2 quarters;
expectations for margins are already elevated. At the lows, we saw valuation support but remained UW (underweight) because triggers were lacking. With the rise in stock price since then, we believe even valuation comfort is absent, making the risk-reward unfavourable.

Market participants are seen positive on Infosys Ltd, which was the top gainer on Nifty after it
signed a technology and data services pact with the Association of Tennis Professionals. Earlier in the week, the US Department of Labor had given a clean chit to Infosys in its investigation into alleged violations of H1-B visa norms.