Indian Markets Outlook for the week - 10.02.2014 - 14.02.2014


Next week would be quite an eventful one for domestic equities with several index heavyweights scheduled to release their results as the earnings season draws to close. Also key economic data such as advance estimate of gross domestic product for 2013-14 (Apr-Mar) due later yesterday, and industrial production data for December, and Consumer Price index-based inflation for January due on Wednesday will be watched. The advance gross domestic product estimate for 2013-14 (Apr-Mar) will be released later yesterday. India's economic growth is likely to marginally improve to 4.7% in the current financial year ending Mar 31 from a decade low of 4.5% a year ago. The GDP numbers would set the tone for next session and any adverse news from that front could result in resumption of downtrend again. The government will present the railway vote-on-account for 2014-15 (Apr-Mar) on Wednesday. On the global front, market participants will keep a watch on the January non-farm payrolls data from US due later yesterday. This data will provide further clues on the recovery in the US labour market. In the backdrop of these major events, market participants recommend trading cautiously in the market and stick to defensive bets. Yesterday the index ended at 6063.20, up 26.90 points or 0.4% from Thursday. The S&P BSE's 30-scrip Sensex closed at 20376.56, up 65.82 points or 0.3%. MCX Stock Exchange's SX40 ended at 12212.28, up 42.20 points or 0.3%. Apart from the above mentioned events, market participants will also closely eye the quarterly index review announcement by MSCI Inc on Wednesday. Companies detailing earnings on Monday include BGR Energy Systems, CEAT, Dhanlaxmi Bank, Essar Oil, IFCI, Indraprastha Gas, Jaiprakash Associates, NMDC, and Tata Motors. Other major companies detailing earnings next week are Dr. Reddy's Laboratories, Tata Steel, Bharat Petroleum Corp, Cipla, Coal India, Hindalco Industries, Sun Pharmaceutical Industries, Mahindra & Mahindra, State Bank of India, Hindustan Petroleum Corp, Oil India, Indian Oil Corp, Financial Technologies, Steel Authority of India, and Unitech. Tata Motors' consolidated net profit is likely to double to 34.77 bln rupees in the quarter ended Dec 31 on continued good performance of UK-based subsidiary Jaguar Land Rover. However, the talk is that Tata Motors may report significantly higher than expected profit. Yesterday, the stock rose 6.4% to end at 384.45 rupees after the world's largest steel producer ArcelorMittal gave positive earnings growth outlook for 2014.