GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Cement Stocks Outlook for the week – 16 to 20.06.2014

Cement Stocks Outlook for the week – 16 to 20.06.2014
(www.rupeedesk.in)

Stocks of major cement companies are expected to follow the broader market next
week in the absence of a sector-specific trigger. The bias though is likely to be slightly
negative with the advent of monsoon rains. Global developments will be key for Indian
share indices as geopolitical tensions in Iraq triggered a selloff across global equities
yesterday. Market players will also take cues from the outcome of US Federal Open
Market Committee's two-day policy meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday. The week will
begin with the release of Wholesale Price Index-based inflation data for May on
Monday.
Cement demand is usually low during monsoon and that will reflect on stocks of cement
companies too. The mood will be low. Although the medium- to long-term demand for
cement as well as earnings of companies look positive ‘a material downside risk to our
estimates’ is the possibility of monsoon rains to be disappointing this year. Prices, too,
are seen remaining subdued during the monsoon season, after a recent hike.
The top three cement manufacturers--UltraTech, ACC and Ambuja—have already raised
product prices in the range of 10-60 rupees per bag. They were followed by small
players. The price hike in southern India, particularly Andhra Pradesh, is high at 50-60
rupees per bag, while the rise was in the range of 10-15 rupees in the rest of the

country.