GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Bank Stocks Outlook for the week – 21 to 25.07.2014

Bank Stocks Outlook for the week – 21 to 25.07.2014
(www.rupeedesk.in)

With no major macroeconomic data releases lined up, most of the action in banking
stocks next week will be along Apr-Jun earnings of major banks. HDFC Bank, Punjab
National Bank, Canara Bank, Axis Bank, ING Vysya Bank, Allahabad Bank, and YES Bank
Ltd, among others will detail their Apr-Jun earning next week. Most movement will be
bank specific. Positive sentiment in the sector was sparked after the Reserve Bank of
India announced eligibility norms on long-term bonds for financing infrastructure
projects including affordable housing.

Bank Nifty rose over 6.5% this week to 15389.35. The long-term infra bond norms
addressed both the asset and liability side of banks interested in extending credit to
such long gestation projects. Addition of the affordable housing projects in the
infrastructure sector will further aid the bank's retail business. There has been a sharp
upward move in most banking heavyweights and going ahead the focus may shift to
midcaps from private and public sector banking stocks.

Any major bout of profit book during the week, however, might take the Bank Nifty to
15000. Kotak Mahindra Bank is our Silver Bullet, recovery has already started to play out
during Q1 FY15 (Apr-Jun).