GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook for the week – 27 to 30.04.2015

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook for the week – 27 to 30.04.2015

Stocks of most capital goods companies are seen trading with a negative bias next week due to weak sentiment prevailing in the broader market following tepid Jan-Mar earnings and concerns over minimum alternative tax. Recently, the tax department has demanded 400 bln rupees from foreign institutional investors as minimum alternate with retrospective effect.

Also global cues such as the outcome of the US Federal Open Market Committee's two-day
monetary policy meeting on Wednesday and progress on Greece's debt talks will keep the market on its toes.

Capital goods major Siemens, however, is seen gaining next week as the company's earnings
announced yesterday, after market hours, were positive. The company reported Jan-Mar net profit of 1.62 bln rupees, up 83.4% on year, largely on the back of better operational metrics.

Next week will also see French company Alstom's Indian arms announcing their Jan-Mar results. Alstom India will detail its results on Wednesday, while Alstom T&D India will announce its earnings on Thursday.

This would be a good time for long-term investors to start building positions in capital goods
companies, as order from government is seen picking up going forward. Public sector order inflows play a key role in capital goods sector as a majority of orders come from the government sector.


State by state of power plant capacity additions suggests that the state sector power generation pipeline is modest, supported by Telangana state orders in the near term. State-owned Bharat Heavy Electricals is seen as the biggest beneficiary of Telangana order inflows.