GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

FMCG Stocks Outlook for the week – 11 to 15.05.2015

FMCG Stocks Outlook for the week – 11 to 15.05.2015

Stocks of fast-moving consumer goods companies are likely to trade with a positive bias
next week on bargain buying. Optimism that the Good and Services Tax--its amendment
bill was passed in the Lok Sabha on Wednesday--will be rolled out next year is also seen
supporting FMCG stocks.

We expect the FMCG space to do well after heavyweight Hindustan Unilever reported a
higher-than-expected net profit for Jan-Mar. HUL posted a net profit of 10.18 bln rupees
for Jan-Mar, up 16.7% from a year ago, on the back of improved operating margins, and
a one-time gain on sale of property and of arm Brooke Bond Real Estates Pvt Ltd.

Jan-Mar earnings of most FMCG companies so far have been in line with market
estimates or slightly above, which is seen as a positive for the sector. In the coming week,
the focus will be on Emami's results, which will be detailed on Wednesday.

The broader market is expected to consolidate after the recent fall, and take direction
from developments in Parliament over key bills, domestic economic data and corporate
earnings next week. On Tuesday, the Central Statistics Office will release April
Consumer Price Index-based inflation data and Index of Industrial Production data for
March. Over the longer run, market participants will watch out for consumer demand patterns
and forecasts on the southwest monsoon, which has a huge bearing on rural demand in

India.