GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Auto Stocks Outlook for the week – 08 to 12.06.2015 (Seen muted; eyes on monsoon movement)

Auto Stocks Outlook for the week – 08 to 12.06.2015
(Seen muted; eyes on monsoon movement)
 www.rupeedesk.in )

Stocks of major auto makers are seen muted during the coming week with all eyes on the advance of the southwest monsoon to the northern parts of India after hitting Kerala today. The southwest monsoon hit the coast of Kerala with a four-day delay and the India Meteorological Department stated that conditions are favourable for its advance to states such as Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu. 

The India Meteorological Department had predicted for rains to be at 88% of the long-period average, which leaves the country staring at a second consecutive drought. Automobile sales are directly dependent on monsoon, with the same translating into sales in the rural parts of the country.  A deficient monsoon will have a bearing on two-wheeler and tractor sales to a great extent.

Stocks of Hero (MotoCorp Ltd), Bajaj (Auto Ltd), and M&M (Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd) will be under pressure next week. The auto space at large is also seen subdued. It is a wait-and-watch game.

Earnings for Jan-Mar from automakers largely weren't impressive, which is seen adding to the gloom through the coming week as well. Passenger car sales having picked up during May should see counters of the respective manufacturers trading with a minor positive bias.
The counter of Maruti Suzuki India Ltd is seen positive next week, backed by an impressive growth in sales during May, and with new launches getting lined up, with the first one, S-Cross, expected during the third week of July.

Tata Motors Ltd is likely to see negative action in its counter in the week ahead, due to a belowaverage performance from its subsidiary Jaguar Land Rover.