GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Bank Stocks Outlook for the week - 17.03.2014 - 21.03.2014

 www.rupeedesk.in

Bank stocks are likely to consolidate next week, after the recent rally in stocks of both 
public sector and private banks, and are seen moving in a narrow range. Movement in 
bank stock is rangebound also because you have policy coming up. So even with better 
WPI (Wholesale Price Index-based inflation) numbers, markets are expecting status quo 
in the policy review as the RBI is focusing on CPI (Consumer Price Index). The Reserve 
Bank of India is scheduled to detail its bi-monthly monetary policy on Apr 1. Data 
released yesterday showed India's WPI inflation for February eased to a nine-month low 
of 4.68% from 5.05% in January, primarily on account of a decline in prices of food 
articles, especially vegetables. 

Investors will keenly eye the US Federal Open Market Committee's meeting scheduled 
for Mar 18-19, with the central bank expected to further taper its monthly asset 
purchases. Despite the recent surge in stock prices, investors remained cautious, given the 
issue of worsening asset quality. Our overall stance on the banking sector remains 
cautious, as we believe the macroeconomic demand slowdown that India is experiencing 
is unlikely to witness a sudden turnaround, despite a likely stable and decisive 
government.