GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Auto Stocks Outlook for the week - 19 to 23.May.2014

Auto Stocks Outlook for the week - 19 to 23.May.2014
(www.rupeedesk.in)


Stocks of most automobile companies are likely to move sideways next week
as euphoria over the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance's
victory in the Lok Sabha polls has been priced in. This week, in the run-up to
the announcement of the results yesterday, auto stocks rose 0.6-
12.5%. According to the Election Commission of India website, the NDA is
slated for a landslide victory. The general mood is that of optimism, but
fundamentally nothing is going to change in the auto space in the next few
months. Next week there could be some profit booking in some stocks. We've
seen some of that already yesterday.
The weak investment scenario of the past few years is likely to change with the
arrival of the new government. The new government would likely take several
bold steps to spur recovery in the infrastructure and manufacturing sector. As a
result, in the medium-to-long term, the automotive sector, and especially the
commercial vehicle segment is seen benefitting. Next week, Ashok Leyland
will be in focus, as the commercial vehicle manufacturer will detail its earnings
for Jan-Mar on Thursday.
We continue to prefer Maruti Suzuki India, Hero MotoCorp and Tata
Motors. However, Bajaj Auto, which detailed its Jan-Mar earnings on
Thursday, is likely to be subdued over the next few days. The motorcycle
maker disappointed the Street, posting a net profit of 7.64 bln rupees, down
0.2% year on year, and below expectations of 7.99 bln rupees.