GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Auto Stocks Outlook for the week – 21 to 25.07.2014

Auto Stocks Outlook for the week – 21 to 25.07.2014

Stocks of major automobile manufacturers are seen tracking the broader indices during
the coming week, in the absence of either any sector-specific triggers or Apr-Jun
earnings of any company. India's largest carmaker Maruti Suzuki India Ltd is expected to
detail its earnings for the quarter ended June on Jul 30.

Maruti Suzuki is seen reporting a 12.3% on-year rise in its Apr-Jun net profit to 7.1 bln
rupees, aided by higher vehicle sales and cost cutting measures undertaken by the
company. The country's largest passenger vehicle manufacturer reporting a 13.1% onyear
rise in its Apr-Jun net sales to 113.06 bln rupees.

While volume growth is likely to record a slow recovery in the upcoming quarters based
on low base and improving sentiments, we favour companies with strong margin levers,
a better medium-term volume growth outlook and reasonable valuations. The stock is
seen trading with a minor positive bias during the week, with consolidation likely during
the latter half. Bajaj Auto Ltd, which posted its earnings for the quarter Thursday,
reported net profit of 7.4 bln rupees in Apr-Jun, up 0.3% on year, sharply below Street
expectations. The automaker's net sales during the reporting quarter stood at 51.3 bln
rupees, up 6.8% from the corresponding period a year ago.

Bajaj Auto was expected to report a 13% increase in net profit at 8.3 bln rupees, and an
8% rise in net sales at 52.1 bln rupees. As a consequence, we see Bajaj Auto's counter
under pressure throughout the coming week, and chose it as an underperformer among
auto stocks.