GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Bank Stocks Outlook for the week- 30.03.2015 to 01.04.2015

Bank Stocks Outlook for the week- 30.03.2015 to 01.04.2015

Bank stocks are expected to track the broad market and trade with a negative bias next week.
Markets will be shut on Thursday for Mahavir Jayanti and on Apr 3 on account of Good Friday.

Traders will remain cautious in the truncated week and not take large positions in bank stocks
ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's first bi-monthly policy statement for 2015-16 (Apr-Mar), due Apr 7.
Bank Nifty has marginally underperformed Nifty in last series but has seen formation of short
positions which got rolled over too. Also, this index has breached its important support which
was around 18200. This has negative implications on it.

Bank Nifty has gained about 3.5% as against 6.3% in Nifty in the past three months, with public sector lenders being the laggards.

We prefer large PSU banks like PNB (Punjab National Bank) and BOB (Bank of Baroda), while we recommend Indian Bank in the midcap space owing to its better standing among its peers, on various parameters.

We believe SBI will be the biggest beneficiary of lower interest rates, easing liquidity and a
pick-up in economic growth given higher stress in the mid-corporate and SME (small and
medium enterprise) segment.

We expects Bank of Baroda stock prices to remain weak as slippages may remain higher in the next couple of quarters along with higher restructuring expected Jan-Mar.