GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Auto Stocks Outlook for the week – 25 to 29.05.2015

Auto Stocks Outlook for the week – 25 to 29.05.2015
 Negative bias seen; Tata Motor, M&M earning eyed
Stocks of major automakers are seen trading with a negative bias next week due to a likely
correction in Nifty levels, the Jan-Mar financial results of Tata Motors Ltd and Mahindra &
Mahindra Ltd, to be detailed on Tuesday and Friday respectively, would be eyed. Nifty is expected to correct during the coming week after rising through the past seven trading days and the automobile sector, being the first one to fall, is expected to lead the downward trajectory this time as well.

Among automakers declaring their respective financial results for Jan-Mar during the coming
week are Tata Motors and M&M. Tata Motors is likely to report a consolidated net profit of 41.20 bln rupees for Jan-Mar, up 5% on year. Net sales for the automaker are seen at 672.33 bln rupees, up 4% on year. The rise in sales would be supported by factors such as a recovery in medium and heavy commercial vehicle sales in India, a better product mix in its high-profit arm Jaguar Land Rover and a positive impact of foreign exchange movement. Expect standalone business likely to report 0.9% (fall in net profit). Standalone numbers showing improvement on operating leverage benefit from improving M&HCV/car sales.

Tata Motors' counter is seen as one of the few trading with a positive bias during the week, mainly in anticipation of a growth in net profit, supported also by its standalone operations
this time around, as JLR volumes declined on year. M&M, which is scheduled to detail its results on Friday, is expected to report a net profit of 5.68 bln rupees, down 37% on year. Net sales, too, are seen down on year for M&M. The company is expected to report an 18% fall in net sales to 88.36 bln rupees.


A fall in volumes of passenger vehicles and tractors is seen as the reason behind a dismal set of numbers likely to be reported by Mahindra & Mahindra. M&M continues to face pressure on its UV (utility vehicle) business, led by weak industry demand and higher competitive pressures. Tractor demand is also likely to be subdued due to lean season in domestic market. In line with the numbers, M&M's counter is seen having a negative outlook for the week.