GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Auto Stocks Outlook for the week – 15 to 19.06.2015 (Major automakers are seen trading with a minor positive bias)

Auto Stocks Outlook for the week – 15 to 19.06.2015
(Major automakers are seen trading with a minor positive bias)

Stocks of major automakers are seen trading with a minor positive bias in the coming week in hope of a respectable monsoon. The southwest monsoon yesterday hits Mumbai and other parts of central Maharashtra, two days behind the schedule of Jun 10. The current is likely to further advance and cover the remaining parts of Maharashtra, Karnataka, and Andhra Pradesh over the next five days, India Meteorological Department said today.

Rains so far have been only 1% below normal thereby spurring hope of a good crop, which will keep inflation under control, and possibly boost vehicle demand in the country. Auto stocks at large would be positive on that account (hope of good rains), and further updates from the met department are awaited.

Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd is likely to witness positive action in its counter if rains are satisfactory over the start of the coming week, a good monsoon would almost directly boost tractor sales.

Stocks of two-wheeler manufacturers such as Hero MotoCorp Ltd, Bajaj Auto Ltd, and TVS Motor Co Ltd are also seen trading with a positive bias all in hope of satisfactory rains. The motorcycle segment particularly has taken a bad hit in sales over the past six-seven months due to sentiment in the rural parts of the country being down after a deficient monsoon last year.

Maruti Suzuki India Ltd's counter is seen positive during the coming week almost regardless of the impact of the monsoon, as initial pre-launch response for its upcoming compact sport utility vehicle S-Cross has been good. Maruti Suzuki is expected to launch the compact SUV around Jul 15, roughly a week before competitor Hyundai Motor India launches its own compact SUV Creta on Jul 21.

Tata Motors Ltd's subsidiary Jaguar Land Rover is expected to detail its global wholesales figures for May during the coming week, and after reports of a dull retail scenario. A 40-basis-point on-year rise in industrial growth during April is seen auguring well for the counter of commercial vehicle maker Ashok Leyland, the trend for the stock in the short term was positive.