GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

FMCG Stocks Outlook for the week – 15 to 19.06.2015 (Consumer goods companies is seen remaining weak)

FMCG Stocks Outlook for the week – 15 to 19.06.2015
(Consumer goods companies is seen remaining weak)

The overall bias for shares of fast-moving consumer goods companies is seen remaining weak, but some bouts of bargain buying is likely next week after recent declines. The CNX FMCG Index declined more than 6% in the last two weeks.

The rise in India's inflation based on the new Consumer Price Index to 5.01% in May from 4.87% in April is seen weighing on FMCG stocks. Higher inflation dents demand for consumer products. Concerns over weak monsoon forecast for this year and increased regulatory scan on processed food products had weighed on FMCG stocks in past few days.

After the ban on Nestle India Ltd's Maggi noodles, the Food Safety and Standards Authority of India blacklisted 500 products that failed to get approvals, and many of them were found to have high levels of heavy metals, caffeine, and iron filings. The food regulator has also ordered state food safety inspectors to test samples from as many as seven companies, including ITC, Glaxosmithkline Consumer Healthcare, and Nestle India. Hindustan Unilever decided to withdraw its Knorr Chinese range of instant noodles, as the food regulator's approval for the product was still pending.


The India Meteorological Department has cut its forecast for India's monsoon rains this season to 88% of long-period average from 93% earlier. During Jun 1-12, total rainfall in the country was 46.5 mm, 1% above normal. With uncertainties prevailing over monsoon, and increasing concerns over safety of packaged food products, the overall sentiment is seen weak for the FMCG sector. Monsoon rains are crucial for the FMCG sector, as it has significant bearing on rural demand for consumer products.