GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Oil Stocks Outlook for the week – 14 to 18.09.2015 (Seen in range next week, refiners preferred)

Oil Stocks Outlook for the week – 14 to 18.09.2015
(Seen in range next week, refiners preferred)
  www.rupeedesk.in )

Stocks of public sector oil marketing companies as well as producers are seen trading in a range next week. They will mostly track the rupee-dollar movements and those in crude oil prices. The trend in the benchmark gross refining margins would be another factor for the refining and marketing companies.

Prices of crude oil are yet to stabilise and analysts believe that the outlook for the commodity
remains weak as all major oil producing regions--Russia, the US and the countries part of The
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries--continue to pump high quantities.

A sharp decline in oil prices would spell trouble for both oil producing companies and refiners.
Stocks of Oil and Natural Gas Corp Ltd and Oil India Ltd will closely track oil prices and are seen weak in near term.

Senior officials of Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd and Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd told Cogencis this week that refining margins are now trending lower and the companies also have to deal with some inventory loss this quarter. This may put pressure on their earnings. If crude prices hold for now, stocks of BPCL, HPCL and Indian Oil Corp Ltd may trade with a positive bias.