Key Factors Affecting & Reasons
- Nifty Metal index remains in a strong long-term uptrend but is currently experiencing a pullback.
- The 50-day moving average (9199.80) is acting as a resistance, while the 150-day (7337.42) and 200-day (6933.11) moving averages serve as strong support zones.
- RSI at 54.68 indicates neutral momentum, reflecting indecision among traders.
- MACD shows mixed signals, with positive divergence but still hovering near a bearish crossover.
- ADX at 19.01 suggests weakening trend strength, hinting at possible consolidation.
Key Watch
- Support levels: 8,800 | 7,500
- Resistance levels: 9,200 | 10,000
- A breakout above 9,200 may trigger further bullish momentum, while a drop below 8,800 could signal more downside pressure.
Volume Analysis
- Current trading volume stands at 763.18M, higher than the average 675.63M, indicating increased interest in the index.
- A volume surge will be crucial to confirm any breakout or breakdown.
Dow Theory Chart Analysis & Observations
- The index continues to follow a long-term uptrend but is facing resistance at higher levels.
- Price action is testing key support and resistance levels, making it a critical point for upcoming moves.
- If the index sustains above 9,200, it could trigger a bullish rally, whereas a drop below 8,800 might bring further selling pressure.
Stocks to Watch
- Tata Steel
- JSW Steel
- Hindalco
- Vedanta
Market Insights: Short-Term & Long-Term View
- Short-Term: The index is in a consolidation phase, and a breakout above 9,200 is necessary for renewed bullish momentum.
- Long-Term: The bullish trend remains intact, and any dips may present good accumulation opportunities for long-term investors.