Realty Index Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

Realty Index Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025


Realty Index Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025
Realty Index Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025
Realty Index Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

Realty Sector Analysis – 14.03.2025 
K Karthik Raja (Market Educator & Technical Analyst)
MCA | MBA | M.Com | MSc Psychology | PGJMC | CST | MDAT | CFA Pursuant  

Key Factors Affecting the Nifty Realty Index  
- Interest rate trends – RBI’s monetary policy impacts real estate demand and borrowing costs.  
- Government policies & incentives – Housing schemes, infrastructure development, and regulatory changes influence sector growth.  
- Real estate demand – Urbanization, migration trends, and affordable housing demand shape market movement.  
- Global economic factors – Inflation, liquidity conditions, and foreign investment affect realty stocks.  
- Raw material costs – Steel, cement, and labor costs influence project profitability and margins.  

Key Watch  
- Support & resistance levels  
  - Immediate support: 800  
  - Major support: 692 (150-DMA), 630 (200-DMA)  
  - Resistance levels: 1001 (50-DMA)  

- Technical indicators  
  - RSI: 35.01 (Near oversold zone)  
  - MACD: Bearish crossover, indicating weakness  
  - ADX: 23.94, showing moderate trend strength  

Upcoming Events  
- RBI’s interest rate decision and impact on home loans  
- Government policies on real estate development  
- FDI & institutional investment trends in real estate  
- Inflation and raw material cost updates affecting construction  

Volume Analysis  
- Recent price corrections have been accompanied by low trading volumes, suggesting weak momentum.  
- Institutional investors are cautious, awaiting trend confirmation.  
- A surge in volume near support levels could signal potential buying interest.  

Dow Theory Chart Analysis & Observations  
- Primary trend: Bullish (Higher highs & higher lows indicate a long-term uptrend)  
- Short-term trend: Corrective (Pullback from recent highs, testing key support levels)  
- Long-term trend: Remains bullish if 692 support holds  

Stocks to Watch  
- DLF – Strong fundamentals with expansion plans  
- Godrej Properties – Focused on premium & mid-segment housing  
- Oberoi Realty – High-end real estate development potential  
- Macrotech Developers (Lodha) – Benefiting from rising demand in metro cities  
- Brigade Enterprises – Growth in commercial real estate sector  

Market Insights  
- Short-term view: Market is in a consolidation phase, testing key support zones.  
- Long-term view: Growth outlook remains positive due to rising housing demand and government infrastructure push.  

Final Takeaway  
- Nifty Realty is in a long-term uptrend but experiencing a short-term correction.  
- 800 is a crucial support level to watch for a possible rebound.  
- Global liquidity, interest rates, and real estate demand will determine future price movements.  

Breakout Strategy (Bullish)  
- Buy above 1001, targeting 1200+  
- Look for increasing volume and RSI moving above 50  

Breakdown Strategy (Bearish)  
- Sell if it breaks below 800, targeting 692 & 630  
- Confirmation needed from MACD & RSI for stronger downside momentum

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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