REALTY Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training- 01.03.2025
REALTY Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training- 01.03.2025
REALTY Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training- 01.03.2025
NIFTY REALTY Analysis
By K Karthik Raja
Key Factors Affecting & Reasons
1. Economic Trends – Interest rate fluctuations and inflation impact real estate demand. RBI’s monetary policy decisions will be key.
2. Government Policies – Housing incentives, real estate regulations (RERA), and infrastructure spending influence the sector’s growth.
3. Liquidity & Institutional Investments – Foreign and domestic institutional investments in the real estate sector impact stock performance.
4. Global Market Sentiment – Real estate is cyclical; any slowdown in global growth can impact investor confidence in the sector.
5. Earnings & Demand-Supply Dynamics – Developers' earnings, new project launches, and inventory clearance rates affect sectoral performance.
Key Watch
- Support Levels: 780-800 is a critical zone; a break below can lead to further downside.
- Resistance Levels: 1000+ is the level to reclaim for bullish momentum.
- Moving Averages:
- 50-day MA (1005.85): Price is below this, indicating short-term weakness.
- 200-day MA (625.52): Long-term trend remains intact despite recent corrections.
Volume Analysis
- Selling Pressure: Increased selling volume suggests profit booking.
- Institutional Activity: FIIs/DIIs selling could be driving the correction.
- Reversal Signs: Need to see higher volumes on green candles for confirmation.
Chart Analysis & Observations
- RSI (35.01): Nearing oversold territory, potential for a technical rebound.
- MACD: Bearish crossover indicates continued downside momentum.
- ADX (23.43): Trend strength is moderate but weakening. A move below 20 may indicate consolidation.
Stocks to Watch
- DLF, Godrej Properties, Oberoi Realty, Prestige Estates – Watch for price action near support levels.
- Midcap Realty Stocks – If market rebounds, midcaps could outperform.
Market Insights
Short-Term View:
- Bearish to Neutral unless price holds the 780-800 support zone.
- A rebound could happen if RSI moves up from oversold conditions.
Long-Term View:
- Bullish Above 200-Day MA (625.52): Uptrend intact if price holds above this.
- Need a reclaim of 50-day MA (1005.85) for renewed strength.
Conclusion
- Near-term: Market correction in Realty, but approaching oversold levels.
- Long-term: Still bullish, but needs stability and fresh buying interest.
- Key Levels to Watch: 780 support, 1000 resistance.
Disclaimer: Informational purposes only, not financial advice. Do your own research.
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