GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

This Week Sectors Report - 22.10.2018 To 26.10.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Indian Markets Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018

Indian Markets Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 Benchmark indices are expected to move in a wide range next week as investors turn risk averse in line with the trend in global markets, and as stocks are seen reacting sharply to even slight negatives in earnings of companies. Global investors are concerned about a slow down in global growth, and geopolitical tensions between the US and Saudi Arabia. The value at risk for stocks are increasing, with even slight disappointment in results leading to continued selling from investors wanting to stay in cash. Investors are likely to avoid buying shares of non-banking finance companies, even after their sharp fall, due to concern over liquidity, and would rather wait for their results over a couple of more quarters. Yesterday, the Nifty 50 ended at 10303.55, down 149.50 points, or 1.4%, while S&P BSE Sensex closed at 34315.63, down 463.95 points or 1.3%. There is nothing positive about the market, as even leading Nifty 50 stocks Reliance Industries, Tata Consultancy Services and Infosys have fallen after their Jul-Sep results. Yesterday, shares of HDFC Bank ended down 0.4% ahead of its Jul-Sep results announcement on Saturday. Other Nifty 50 companies to announce results next week include Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone, Asian Paints, Bharti Infratel, Bharti Airtel, Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Finserv, Bajaj Auto, Dr Reddy's Laboratories, HCL Technologies, ICICI Bank, ITC, JSW Steel, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Maruti Suzuki India, UPL, Wipro and Yes Bank.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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IT Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018

IT Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 Commentaries of information technology companies on how they see demand shaping up in key verticals, especially banking, financial services and insurance and retail, will set the trend for these stocks next week. Persistent Systems, Larsen & Toubro Infotech, KPIT Technologies, Hexaware Technologies, and L&T Technology Services will announce their September-quarter earnings next week. The commentaries are critical as Mindtree, surprisingly, said it expects demand from the financial services and retail segments to soften in the near term, when larger companies such as Infosys and Tata Consultancy Services indicated otherwise. Its shares plummeted nearly 17% yesterday. Movement in the rupee against the dollar, given its recent volatility, will also be watched.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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FMCG Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018

FMCG Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 Stocks of fast moving consumer goods companies are expected to trade in a narrow range next week due to lack of definite cues. The sector is likely to witness stock-specific buying amid volatility in the broader market. Shares of ITC, Bajaj Corp, Jyothy Laboratories, and Varun Beverages will be in focus as these companies are scheduled to report their September quarter earnings next week. The fundamental outlook for the sector remains positive and efficiently managed companies such as Hindustan Unilever Ltd and Godrej Consumer Products Ltd would be on investors' radar. Stocks in the sector will take cues from the broader market in the absence of immediate triggers.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Metals Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018

Metals Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 The September quarter earnings of JSW Steel and Hindustan Zinc will be in focus next week, while the overall movement of metal and mining shares will depend on the trend in the broader market. Hind Zinc will report its earnings on Monday, and a 16% year-on-year fall in zinc output and 14% fall in the price of the metal is expected to weigh on its earnings. The company's guidance on cost of producing zinc will also be watched. The operating profit made by JSW Steel on every tonne of steel it sold in India during the September quarter is expected to decline sequentially because of a fall in prices, especially those of long products. More than the performance in Jul-Sep though, any commentary related to the acquisition of stressed assets will be in focus. JSW Steel is currently in a race to acquire Essar Steel and Bhushan Power and Steel. The company will announce its earnings on Thursday.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Pharma Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018

Pharma Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 Stocks of pharmaceutical companies are likely to extend their gains next week due to likely defensive buying by domestic mutual funds. The gains, however, may be limited due to a hit to sentiment from the Form 483 issued by the US Food and Drug Administration to the company's unit. Investors will focus on quarterly earnings, as Dr Reddy's Laboratories kick- starts the Jul-Sep earnings season for pharmaceutical companies. Investors will await the Hyderabad-based company's earnings to take cues for other companies in this segment. This week, the Nifty Pharma index outperformed the benchmark Nifty 50, closing with gains of 1.3%, against a loss of 1.6% for the Nifty 50. Cues from the broader market are unlikely to be supportive, as benchmark indices are expected to be weak next week due to cues from global equity markets and ongoing geopolitical tensions between the US and Saudi Arabia.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Cement Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018

Cement Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 Stocks of cement companies are seen trading mixed next week, in the absence of any major triggers. ACC is looking strong. Rest of the stocks are likely to take cues from broader markets. Benchmark share indices are expected to be volatile as well, taking cues from earnings of heavyweights like ITC, Kotak Mahindra Bank, ICICI Bank, Maruti Suzuki India and Bharti Airtel. Slow global growth and geopolitical tensions between the US and Saudi Arabia are seen hampering sentiment. Investors will also eye Ambuja Cements as the company is scheduled to detail its Jul-Sep earnings on Tuesday. The cement manufacturer is expected to post a net profit of 2.8 bln rupees on net sales of 25.3 bln rupees.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 Stocks of companies in the capital goods sector are seen moving in a narrow range next week, with investors focussing on the results of sector heavyweight Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. Investors will look for commentary from the sector bellwether on order inflow from the private sector. Stocks of most capital goods companies have been under pressure in the past few weeks due to a slowdown in orders within the sector and overall weakness in the markets. Larsen & Toubro, Bharat Heavy Electrical and Siemens Ltd are seen facing strong resistance at the current level. Movement in the broader markets is expected to be volatile due to earnings announcement of key companies like ITC Ltd and ICICI Bank Ltd.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018

Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 Stocks of most automobile companies are likely to rise next week, with sentiment for Maruti Suzuki India Ltd, Tata Motors Ltd and Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd turning positive. We are positive on the shares of Maruti Suzuki, Hero MotoCorp Ltd and Tata Motors as the companies are likely to benefit from improvement in rural economy. The two-wheeler segment and budget segment of commercial vehicles are expected to grow in the short-to-medium-term as the festival season is round the corner. Hero MotorCorp will launch its Destini 125cc motorcycle on Monday to improve its festival season sales. Bajaj Auto Ltd and Maruti Suzuki will report their earnings on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively, and they are likely to provide cues to the sector as well. Benchmark indices are likely to be volatile on account of earnings of key companies as well as rollovers before expiry of October derivative contracts, and this may also affect the movement in Nifty Auto index.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018

Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 
Stocks of banks are seen trading in a broad range in the coming week, in line with the movement in the broader market, where sentiment is likely to depend on global cues. However, some recovery is likely after a correction this week, as earnings, especially of relatively better performing private sector banks, start to pick up pace. On a stock-specific basis, earnings of banks for Jul-Sep will lend major cues to the sector. RBL Bank, IDFC Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Lakshmi Vilas Bank, Karur Vysya Bank, YES Bank, Shriram City Union Bank, and ICICI Bank are slated to announce their earnings in the coming week. Stocks of HDFC Bank will also be in focus as the bank will announce its results on Saturday.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Oil Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018

Oil Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 Movement in prices of crude oil and the dollar-rupee exchange rate is expected to continue to dictate the trend for stocks of public sector oil marketing companies--Indian Oil Corp Ltd, Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd, and Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd--in the immediate-to-near term. A weak rupee and high oil prices, while being negative for refiners, are positive for upstream companies such as Oil and Natural Gas Corp Ltd and Oil India Ltd, and will influence their share prices as well. Futures contracts of crude oil on domestic and international exchanges are likely to trade lower next week due to a buildup in US crude inventories. Prices fell to a five-week low on Thursday and are down nearly 4% on-week due to the bearish data by the US Energy Information Administration. An internal report of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said rising crude stockpiles and higher production in the US could be a bearish factor for oil prices in the coming few weeks. However, any sharp fall will be capped as sanctions by the US targeting Iran's shipping and oil industry will come into effect on Nov 4. The market will also watch out for any announcement from the government on high fuel prices. Any further interference by the government in pricing will be a negative for oil marketing companies.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Telecom Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018

Telecom Stocks Outlook For The Week - 22 To 26.10.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 Earnings of Bharti Airtel Ltd for Jul-Sep, due to be announced on Thursday, is likely to be the major trigger for telecom stocks next week, and commentary from the company's management is expected to be keenly watched. The Sunil Mittal-led company is expected to post a consolidated net profit of 6.94 bln rupees for Jul-Sep due to increasing losses in its India mobile operations. Another major trigger for telecom companies will be the three-day India Mobile Congress starting Thursday, and any news from the event is likely to act as the trigger. Investors will await announcements from new entrant Reliance Jio Infocomm about its fibre-to-the-home broadband services. The service, under the brand-name 'JioGigaFiber', is expected to get a boost after parent Reliance Industries announced the acquisition of majority stake in local cable operators Den Networks Ltd and Hathway Cable & Datacom Ltd. Movement in the broader market is also expected to lend cues to telecom stocks. Benchmark indices are expected to be volatile on account of earnings of key companies and the expiry of the October derivatives contract on Thursday.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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