GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

This Week Sectors Report - 18.12.2017 To 22.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Indian Market Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017

Indian Market Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The Benchmark domestic indices are seen opening higher on Monday as exit polls showed that the incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party will win the Gujarat elections. However, the outcome of the Gujarat polls has been mostly factored, so the market does not see a huge rally. Next week, the Nifty 50 is seen moving in the range of 10300 to 10500 levels. If the Nifty 50 tops 10400 points, it may climb up to 10700 points. The index may find support at 10250 points, but if it breaches that level it may fall below 10000 points. Stocks of banks are expected to trade in a range astraders continue to unwind their long position in these companies.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017

Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The stocks of most automobile companies are likely to rise next week, though the gains are unlikely to be sharp. The stocks are expected to take cues from the broader market following the outcome of
the Gujarat Assembly polls on Monday. In the long term market continue to be positive on the automobile sector. Automobile manufacturers are likely to post strong double-digit growth in
sales for the next two months on account of a low base due to Demonetisation. A recovery in rural demand due to a normal to near-normal monsoon over two years is benefiting two-wheeler makers with a large rural presence, tractor manufacturers such as Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd, and passenger vehicle companies to some extent. Rural demand is likely to remain strong next year as well because the current La Nina conditions over East Central Pacific ocean generally lead to good monsoon for countries like India. The benefits of the Seventh Pay Commission are also likely to aid demand in urban areas, as government employee’s account for 20% of passenger vehicle customers and nearly
15% of two-wheeler customers. The commercial vehicle industry has also started witnessing a turnaround due to a spike in demand owing to strict implementation of over-loading in several states, government spending on road construction and infrastructure and a recovery in replacement demand.
Another sector heavyweight, Eicher Motors Ltd, is also a favourite, as the company is the prime beneficiary of the continuous rise in customer preference for premium motorcycles. The company has a healthy order book and has been doing dealership expansion. VE Commercial Vehicles is also benefiting from the turnaround seen in the segment. This sector also continue to be positive on two-wheeler manufacturer TVS Motor Co Ltd, which entered the super premium segment in the global and domestic markets with the launch of its much-awaited 312cc Apache RR. The Motorcycle is based on a new entry-level performance platform, developed by BMW in collaboration with TVS Motor.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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IT Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017

IT Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The stocks of information technology companies are expected to move in a narrow range next week due to lack of cues. Investors would look to take long positions in IT stocks, with the rupee's movement lending some support. The stock specific negative movements could be expected next week. The stocks of IT major Tata Consultancy Services Ltd and those of Tech Mahindra Ltd
are seen trading with a negative bias in the week ahead. A fall of 1-2% is expected in the near term in the stocks of TCS and Tech Mahindra. Another one stock of Infosys Ltd, however, is expected to sustain gains in the coming week. Infosys has gained over 2% in the past week and nearly 7%
so far this month. The company's stock has gained after the appointment of a new chief executive officer, Salil S. Parekh, early this month. Parekh has been appointed as the IT services provider's CEO and managing director for five years, with effect from Jan 2.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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FMCG Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017

FMCG Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Stocks of most fast moving consumer goods companies are likely to continue trading in a narrow range, tracking broader markets, even as some bellwether companies such as ITC Ltd could trade higher. A win for the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party in the Gujarat state elections is likely to push the markets higher and lift the overall sentiment a bit. The demand scenario is also seen perking up going ahead, aided by a low base due to demonetisation, which hurt sales volumes in Nov-Dec last year. The paints segment is likely to outperform on the back on a rise in rural demand due to growth in construction. The re-painting segment has witnessed strong traction due to the reduction in cycle from 7-10 years to 5-7 years now. The improvement in rural demand is also likely to help companies such as Dabur India Ltd, which gets nearly half its total revenues from rural areas. With most of the products such as fruit juices, light hair oil, toilet cleaners, digestives lying in the low penetrated categories, the scope of double digit growth in most of the categories remains on back of expected improvement in the domestic demand environment The company could see 16-18% upside in the near term as technically. In the dairy sector, a mix of growth, rising consumer maturity and a shift to value-added products is likely to drive growth for milk-based products if companies are able to diversify their product portfolios successfully.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Pharma Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017

Pharma Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The stocks of pharmaceutical companies are seen rising next week due to likely buying-on-dips by investors. Long term investors should use any rise in these stocks to sell their positions, as the
medium-term trend for the sector remains negative.  Pharmaceutical companies have been among the worst performers this year, as increased pricing pressure in their largest drug market, the US and heightened regulatory scrutiny in recent years have suppressed revenues and profit margins. We may see a relief rally in the short term, but investors May outperform benchmarks, snap 7- week trend should sell on those rallies. The government plans to make it mandatory for chemists at pharmacy shops to inform patients about the generic drug substitute for a branded drug are likely to weigh on these stocks. Buying by mutual funds is expected next week, with mid-cap pharmaceutical companies being preferred over their large-cap peers.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Metal Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017

Metal Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The stocks of metal and mining companies, which have been underperforming benchmark indices for seven consecutive weeks, are likely to see a reversal in the trend next week. Stocks of metal
companies may record sharper gains. The technical trend for most metal companies, especially large-cap ones, had turned positive. Fundamentally, the view for both steel and zinc producers remains robust. Zinc prices have on the London Metal Exchange has been firm due to a supply deficit. With demand continuing to remain stable and lower-than expected mine restarts by Glencore, we expect LME zinc prices to remain stable through to FY19.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The shares of capital goods companies are seen falling further next week due to a weak outlook for the sector and also as data released on Tuesday showed a contraction in the segment output. Focus will be on shares of Siemens Ltd and Havells India Ltd that may buck the general trend in the sector.
Data released earlier this week showed the Index for Industrial Production growing 2.28% in October, lower than the 3.8% growth in September and sharply lower than the 4.2% growth recorded in October last year. Output growth of capital goods in October was at 6.8% as against an 8.2%
growth a month ago. We expect Siemens to benefit from its advancement in digitalisation services,
healthy order book, and infrastructure available to compete aggressively for upcoming orders. We are positive on shares of Havells India due to the company's planned expansion across all major businesses. Most thermal power companies, including state-owned Bharat Heavy Electrical Ltd, Pune-based Thermax Ltd, and CG Power & Industrial Solutions Ltd are expected to trade in line with broader market over the short to medium term. The order inflow of thermal power companies is eyed for any movement in the prices of stock of these companies.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Oil Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017

Oil Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The shares of state owned refiners and fuel retailers Indian Oil Corp, Bharat Petroleum Corp, and Hindustan Petroleum Corp--are expected to trade in a narrow range with an underlying positive bias next week. In terms of fundamentals, the three state-owned oil marketing companies continue to be on solid ground, benefiting from healthy domestic demand for fuel as well as robust core refining and marketing margins, which lend a positive outlook to these stocks. Seen upbeat; unwinding of positions may cap gain In the absence of any major sectoral triggers, stocks of oil companies are expected to be guided by the movement in crude oil prices, news flow, and the sentiment in the broader market. Futures contracts of crude oil are likely to move in a range with an upward bias next week due to outages in the North Sea pipeline and an output cut by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other major producers. However, rising US output is seen capping gains. The Forties pipeline in the North Sea will remain shut for a couple of weeks following a hairline crack. The pipeline carries about 450,000 barrels of oil per day. The decision by the OPEC and other producers to extend the production cut of 1.8 mln bbl per day till the end of 2018 is also likely to support prices.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017

Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week – 18 to 22.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The shares of most banks are seen rising next week due to higher chances of the Bharatiya Janata Party winning the Assembly elections in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh on Monday. Various exit polls have shown the BJP returning to power comfortably in Gujarat, apart from wresting Himachal Pradesh from the Congress. Gains, however, are likely to be capped as traders may unwind long positions, due to gains in banking stocks in the past week. Further, with the ending of the deadline for banks to resolve stressed accounts flagged by the Reserve Bank of India in its second list, any update
regarding possible extension of the deadline or details of accounts being referred to the National Company Law Tribunal, will be key cues for the sector. (We have) a continued preference for private banks over public sector banks, recent euphoria over recapitalisation notwithstanding. Our caution is based on the quick turn in events that the sector is witnessing and our preference for private banks is owing to their ability to manage such event cycles in a better manner compared with their public sector peers. We feel volatility is likely to cool off after the outcome of Gujarat state election result. In the absence of any negativity, the index is likely to head towards 26000 in coming days.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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