GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

This Week Sectors Report - 21.01.2019 To 25.01.2019


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Indian Market Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019

Indian Market Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The Nifty 50 may test the crucial resistance level of 11000 points next week, as domestic equities are
expected to catch up with the gains seen in their global peers yesterday and the earnings of major
consumer companies and private banks are likely to be robust. Benchmark equity indices ended flat
yesterday, underperforming most global equities, which rose over 1% each, as an 8% fall in stocks of Sun Pharmaceutical Industries, due to fears of corporate misgovernance, spooked investors. Global risk appetite got a boost from news reports that US trade officials were considering easing import tariffs on goods from China. Yesterday, the Nifty 50 ended at 10906.95 points or up 1.75 points, while the BSE Sensex closed at 36386.61, up 12.53 points. A total of eight Nifty 50 companies Asian Paints, ITC, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Larsen & Toubro, Maruti Suzuki India, YES Bank, Ultratech Cement, and Bharti Infratel are set to detail their earnings next week, with HDFC Bank slated to release them on Saturday. Index major ITC is likely to report strong earnings, led by higher cigarette volumes, while private banks are expected to see a rise in profits, given recoveries from resolution of
insolvent companies and lower provisions, now that the bad loan recognition cycle is largely over. The Nifty 50 is likely to find support at 10800 points and then, at 10500 points. We await a meeting between officals from the finance ministry and public sector banks, reportedly scheduled for next week. Stocks of Wipro are seen falling next week as the company's lower-than-anticipated sales growth guidance for Jan- Mar and a bonus share ratio of one for three may disappoint investors.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Metals Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019

Metals Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Shares of metal and mining companies are likely to trade with a positive bias next week on hope that trade tensions between the world's two largest economies the US and China may ease. Trade officials in the US are considering easing import tariffs on Chinese goods. China is the world's largest producer and consumer of most base metals and steel, and growing trade tensions, along with concerns of a slowdown in demand globally have weighed on prices of metals in the recent past. Hindustan Zinc will also be in focus next week as it is scheduled to announce earnings for the December quarter on Monday. The company's net profit is seen surging nearly 14% on quarter
to 20.63 bln rupees led by higher volumes of zinc and lead, and better prices of zinc.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Pharma Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019

Pharma Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Shares of pharmaceutical companies are likely to remain weak next week, weighed down by corporate governance issues at industry leader Sun Pharmaceutical Industries. Allegations of corporate malpractice at Sun Pharma may dampen valuations of the entire industry. This week, stocks of pharmaceutical companies underperformed the broader market. The Nifty Pharma index fell 2.4% during the week, while the Nifty 50 rose 1%. Cues from the broader market, however, are likely to limit losses in the sector, as benchmark indices are likely to see moderate gains due to optimism over US-China trade talks and strong corporate earnings for the December quarter.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Cement Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019

Cement Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Stocks of cement companies are likely to trade mixed during the next week as some parts of India
witnessed signs of increase in cement prices during Oct-Dec, which would aid realisations of cement
companies. However, investors may wait till the cement-major UltraTech Cement announce its Oct-Dec earnings due Thursday. UltraTech Cement will announce its earnings on Thursday. We expect an
improvement of 100-150 basis points in the operating profit margin of the company, led by lower cost of raw materials during the reporting quarter. Shree Cement will detail its earnings on Tuesday, and we see its Oct-Dec net profit falling 34% on year. The demand scenario is seen improving in Jan-Mar ahead of the General Elections as a boost in construction activity is expected. We will also closely watch the developments in the next GST Council meet. Finance Minister Arun Jaitley had earlier indicated that moving cement to a lower GST slab is a priority.

 Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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FMCG Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019

FMCG Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Stocks of fast-moving consumer goods companies are likely to take cues from ITC Ltd's earnings for the December quarter, scheduled to be announced next week, after Hindustan Unilever Ltd's Oct-Dec
earnings disappointed investors. HUL reported a seventh consecutive quarter of double-digit growth in sales volume in Oct-Dec, surpassing analysts' estimate. The soap-to-shampoo maker recorded 10% on year growth in volumes, which helped the company register an 11% rise in revenue from operations at 95.58 bln rupees. Despite posting above-estimate profits and sales, investors shunned HUL's shares. We will now monitor the earnings of ITC, due on Wednesday. While the company's net sales are seen rising 10% on year to 97.7 bln rupees, its net profit may fall marginally to 30.88 bln rupees from 30.9 bln rupees in the year-ago period. Weak demand in the festival season is seen weighing on the earnings of companies in the sector.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019

Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Bank stocks are likely to trade with a positive bias next week supported by private sector banks such as HDFC Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank. Stocks of both these lenders are seen higher on the back of strong quarterly earnings. HDFC Bank, which will detail Oct-Dec on Saturday, is seen posting a 20% yearly growth in bottomline. Kotak Mahindra Bank is seen reporting 24% year-on-year rise in net profit for the Oct-Dec quarter at 13.1 bln rupees, backed by strong loan growth and stable credit cost. The bank will detail its earnings on Monday. With third quarter earnings lined up next week, stock-specific activity is expected. Union Bank of India, Vijaya Bank, YES Bank are among the banks that will announce their results next week. Investors will also eye developments related to the successor to YES Bank's Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer Rana Kapoor. As per directive from the Reserve Bank of India, the lender must appoint new managing director by Feb 1. Bank stocks will also take cues from the developments pertaining to recapitalisation of public sector banks and movement on government bond yields in the run-up to the Interim Budget.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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IT Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019

IT Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

After a week of earnings and outperforming the broader market, shares of Indian technology companies are likely to be subdued next week. Stocks of Wipro are likely to fall due to disappointment in sales guidance for the March quarter, and as the company will allot a bonus share for every three held in the company. Technology companies will also track the movement of the rupee against the dollar. Zensar Technologies is scheduled to announce its Oct-Dec earnings on Monday, and its consolidated net profit is seen falling 17% on quarter to 777.2 mln rupees.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019

Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Action in stocks of automobile companies is likely to be largely stock-specific next week, and the focus will be on Oct-Dec earnings of two major companies--Maruti Suzuki India and TVS Motor Co. TVS Motor, which will report its quarterly earnings on Tuesday, is expected to report a 7.9% on-year jump in bottom line to 1.66 bln rupees. Maruti Suzuki, India's largest carmaker and the second-largest
contributor to the Nifty A to index, is likely to post a net profit of 17.4 bln rupees, a fall of 3.2% from
the corresponding period last year. The company is scheduled to announce its earnings on Friday. News of companies receiving Bharat Stage VI compliance certificates from the Automotive Research Association of India will also move shares. Tata Motors yesterday said that it had received BS-VI compliance certificate for its 3.8L compressed natural gas engine. This week, automobile stocks underperformed the broader market. The Nifty Auto Index fell 0.2% during the week, while the Nifty 50 rose 1%. However, as the benchmark indices are likely to rise moderately on optimism over US-China trade talks and strong corporate earnings for the December quarter, losses in the auto
sector will be limited.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Next week, movement in the stocks of capital goods companies is likely to be within a narrow range due to lack of cues from the broader market. We await the Oct-Dec earnings of sector heavyweight Larsen and Toubro Ltd, and the company's commentary on the outlook for orders and investment in the sector. L&T, which will report its quarterly earnings on Friday, is expected to post a 12.7% on-year jump in bottom-line at 13.78 bln rupees. Last week, stocks of capital goods companies underperformed the broader market. The Nifty Capital Goods index fell 2.9% during the week, while the Nifty 50 rose 1%. Cues from the broader market, however, are likely to limit losses in the sector, as benchmark indices are likely to see moderate gains due to optimism over US-China trade talks and strong corporate earnings for the December quarter.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Telecom Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019

Telecom Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Reliance Jio Infocomm Ltd's stellar earnings for the December quarter and indication that the company may continue to focus on subscriber addition may put pressure on stocks of Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea next week. The Reliance Industries Ltd subsidiary posted a net profit of 8.31 bln rupees for Oct- Dec, up 22% on quarter, while its quarterly topline crossed 100 bln rupees in just the sixth full quarter of commercial operations. Bharti Airtel will announce its earnings on Jan 31, while Vodafone Idea is still to give a date. For Reliance Communications, the Department of Telecommunications' approval for its spectrum sale to Reliance Jio will be a key trigger. Telecom stocks may also take cues from the broader market, where the focus remains on the Interim Budget on Feb 1.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Oil Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019

Oil Stocks Outlook For The Week - 21 To 25.01.2019


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Stocks of public sector oil companies, both upstream and downstream, are seen consolidating in the coming week. Stocks of upstream companies are seen trading with a positive bias, while those of downstream companies could see some weakness. For cues, investors are expected to observe the movement in international crude prices, as well as in the broader market. Upstream companies such as Oil and Natural Gas Corp Ltd and Oil India Ltd are likely to benefit from higher crude prices. Refiners such as Indian Oil Corp Ltd, Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd, and Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd stand to gain from lower prices. Futures contracts of crude oil may rise on global and domestic exchanges next week because of a cut in production by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies. Data released this week showed a fall in the cartel's output. However, record supply from the US and expectations of further rise in supply are likely to cap the gains. Any major
movement in the dollar-rupee exchange rate would also influence stocks of oil companies. A stronger dollar is a positive for upstream companies and a negative for downstream companies.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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