GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

This Week Sectors Report - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Indian Market Outlook For The Week – 30.07.20818 To 03.08.2018

Indian Market Outlook For The Week – 30.07.20818 To 03.08.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Benchmark indices are likely to sustain their positive momentum next week, but the extent of gains may hinge on Apr-Jun earnings of Nifty 50 companies. Better-than-expected earnings by Reliance Industries and ICICI Bank later yesterday may further take the benchmark indices Nifty 50 to
Sensex to their fresh record highs next week. RIL is expected to report its slowest profit growth in
over a year in Apr-Jun due to the rise in crude oil prices. ICICI Bank, which will detail its earnings
later yesterday, is expected to report an over 38% year-on-year fall in its June quarter net profit
because of higher provisioning for stressed loans. Movement in the indices will most likely be stockspecific next week as 10 Nifty 50 companies Axis Bank, UPL, Titan Co, Tech Mahindra, Indiabulls Housing Finance, Vedanta, Power Grid Corp, Oil and Natural Gas Corp, NTPC and Housing Development Finance Corp will detail their Apr-Jun earnings. We will also await the outcome of the Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee meet on Wednesday. The central bank is likely to raise the repo rate by 25 basis points for the second time in 2018-19 (Apr-Mar). Investors will also await US GDP data, which is scheduled to be detailed later yesterday, and outcome of various central bank meetings. Next week, Nifty 50 is seen in the range of 11150-11440 points. The Nifty 50 ended at 11278.35 points, up 111.05 points or 1% from the previous close, while the Sensex gained by 352.21 points or 0.9% to end at 37336.85. Both indices hit their respective lifetime highs of 11283.40 and 37368.62 during the session. Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Small cap 100 index are also seen higher next week as investor sentiment is seen turning positive because of a recent bout of buying in these stocks.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Pharma Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018

Pharma Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Stocks of pharmaceutical companies are likely to rise next week as traders rolled over long positions
to the August derivative series indicating that they see more gains in the sector. Pharma sector
should be the flavor of this derivative series. Traders are getting excited over the prospects in the sector and we expect the sector to give 8-10% return in the next two months. However, this week the Nifty Pharma index underperformed the benchmark Nifty 50 index. The Nifty Pharma index rose 1.6% this week as against gains of 2.4% in the Nifty 50 index. Cues from the broader market are also expected to be supportive for the sector with the benchmark indices pegged to sustain their positive momentum next week.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Metals Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018

Metals Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Stocks of metal and mining companies are likely to remain positive next week as concerns of a trade
war recede. The Nifty Metal index rose nearly 7% this week, outperforming benchmark indices. Nifty
50 constituent Vedanta will announce its June quarter earnings on Tuesday. Permanent closure of its copper plant in Tamil Nadu, ban on iron ore mining in Goa, and a fall in prices of most base metals are likely to hit its earnings hard. Steel Authority of India will announce its earnings on Aug 3. The government-owned steel maker is seen reporting a net profit of 6.26 bln rupees as against a loss in the year-ago period. Metal companies will be in focus overall as well because most steel makers revise prices at the start of the month.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018

Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Sales performance for July will largely set the tone for the movement in the stocks of automobile
companies next week. While the demand scenario across segments is positive, a sudden break in
the supply chain due to the ongoing strike by transporters is likely to impact the dispatches.
Investors will also eye the stock of Tata Motors Ltd, which is set to report its Apr-Jun earnings on
Tuesday. The Apr-Jun consolidated net profit is seen falling nearly two-thirds on-year to 10.6 bln
rupees, due to a high base in the year-ago period and higher depreciation costs. Any movement in
benchmark indices on account of the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement on
Wednesday may also impact Nifty Auto. Most economists expect the central bank to raise the repo
rate by 25 basis points.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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IT Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018

IT Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Stocks of information technology companies are expected to be in narrow range next week due to lack of definite cues. Stock specific movement, however, can be seen during the week. Shares of HCL Technologies Ltd would be in focus early next week as the company yesterday reported a 9%
sequential rise in its consolidated net profit for Apr-Jun, while its revenue in constant currency terms grew 2.7% on quarter. The rupee's movement against the US dollar will also be watched out for as IT companies earn major chunk of their revenues in US dollar.

 Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018

Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Bank stocks are likely to take cues from the statement of the Reserve Bank of India's monetary
policy committee after its bi-monthly policy meeting on Wednesday. We expect the monetary policy
committee to raise repo rate by 25 basis points, while remaining 14 see it being left unchanged at
6.25%. In June, the RBI had raised the repo rate by 25 bps for the first time in nearly four-and-ahalf
years citing several risks to its inflation target. Uncertainty over interest rates and monetary policy committee stance will keep investors on the sidelines on Monday and Tuesday. There may be some stock-specific movement led by earning announcement. Axis Bank will be keenly watched after the private sector lender had posted its first ever quarterly loss of 21.9 bln rupees in Jan-Mar due to a surge in provisions. The bank is likely to report a net profit of 5.3 bln rupees in Apr-Jun, over 59% lower on year. IDFC Bank, Bank of India, Central Bank of India and Bank of Maharashtra are also scheduled to declare their results in the coming week.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Stocks of capital goods companies are expected to rise next week due to positive comments by sector
heavyweights Larsen & Toubro Ltd and Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd on a rise in orders in the sector. This week, stocks of major capital goods companies rose 2-610.8% and, while threw BSE Capital Goods index was up 3.8% on the back of robust earnings by BHEL and L&T for the quarter ended June. Receding concerns of a trade war are also likely to support stocks in the sector next week. Any movement in benchmark indices on account of the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement on Wednesday may also impact the stocks. Most economists expect the central bank to raise the repo rate by 25 basis points.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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FMCG Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018

FMCG Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Stocks of fast moving consumer goods companies are seen extending gains to the next week as
companies in the sector are expected to report strong Apr-Jun earnings. Strong performance of ITC's
consumer goods operations point towards robust demand scenario for the entire sector. The Nifty
FMCG index is likely to rise for the second straight week after gaining 5% in the past week. Any movement in benchmark indices on account of Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement on Wednesday may also impact Nifty FMCG. We expect the central bank to raise the repo rate by 25 basis points. Shares of Godrej Consumer Products, Tata Global Beverages, Emami, Marico and Dabur India will be in focus, as these companies are scheduled to report earnings for the June quarter in the week.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Oil Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018

Oil Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Shares of Reliance Industries Ltd will be in focus early next week as the company detailed its Apr-Jun earnings yesterday after market hours. The Mukesh Ambani-led behemoth reported a 3.9% on-year rise in consolidated net profit to 94.59 bln rupees, and a gross refining margin of $10.5 per barrel. The company's Apr-Jun bottom-line as well as the reported gross refining margin were in line with expectations. Later during the week, the focus would shift to state-owned Oil and Natural Gas Corp Ltd, as the upstream major is scheduled to detail its earnings for the June quarter on Thursday. We expect ONGC to report a 65.4% on-year rise in net profit to 64.25 bln rupees. Apart from the focus on Apr-Jun earnings, the movement in crude oil prices will be a major factor influencing the movement in stocks of oil companies, both upstream as well as downstream. Prices of crude oil are expected to fall on global and domestic exchanges next week as disruption of Saudi Arabian shipments through Red Sea is seen as temporary and as the US production has been at record high levels. Any movement in benchmark indices on account of the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement on Wednesday may also impact oil stocks. Most economists expect the central bank to raise the repo rate by 25 basis points.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Cement Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018

Cement Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Stocks of cement companies are likely to rise next week as they look positive on technical charts. Most of the cement stocks gained this week and the momentum is likely to continue next week as well as ACC Ltd and UltraTech Cement Ltd are likely to be major gainers. Investors will keep a close eye on Apr-Jun earnings of cement companies. JK Cement Ltd will declare its quarterly results today and Shree Cement Ltd on Monday. JK Lakshmi Cement Ltd and Ramco Cements Ltd are scheduled to detail their earnings on Thursday. Investors will watch out for Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement on Wednesday. Any movement in benchmark indices after the central bank's statement is likely to impact cement stocks.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Telecom Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018

Telecom Stocks Outlook For The Week - 30.07.2018 To 03.08.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Comments from Bharti Airtel Ltd's management that tariff pressure in the telecom sector is moderating may lift stocks of the company as well other telecom services operators next week. However, shares of Reliance Industries may come under pressure as the average revenue per user of
its telecom subsidiary Reliance Jio Infocomm declined for the third consecutive quarter. Investor will also keep a watch on Idea Cellular's earnings to be detailed on Monday. Apart from financial performance, a major trigger for the stock could be comments of the timeline for completion of its proposed merger with Vodafone India Ltd. The company is widely expected to report higher losses.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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