GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

This Week Sectors Report - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Indian Market Outlook For The Week – 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018

Indian Market Outlook For The Week – 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The Domestic benchmark indices are likely to show a positive trend next week, led by gains in information technology companies after Tata Consultancy Services fixed its share buyback price at a hefty 14% premium to the market price. Last week the Nifty 50 rose 0.5%, driven by global events including the US and European central bank announcements and the historic meet between the US and North Korea. The board of Tata Consultancy Services today approved a proposal to buyback 76 mln shares or 1.99% of equity capital, at 2,100 rupees apiece or up to a total of 160 bln rupees. This is a very good price and will be an overall sentiment booster to IT stocks because TCS is the leader in the sector. With the pharmaceutical sector contributing to gains over the last eight trading days, the information technology sector is seen giving the required support to broader market next week. Though defensives and consumptions play will remain the investment theme, even industrials could start contributing, as overall technical trend remains strong. Global crude oil prices were down today amid growing expectation that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies will move to raise production at its meeting next week on Jun 22 at Vienna. However, a strategist at a domestic brokerage said they would rather wait for the fine print from OPEC meet and their decision on increasing crude output next Friday. A sustained fall in global crude oil prices is a positive for the Indian economy dependent largely on oil imports, and the progress of good monsoon points towards income that is more rural and higher consumption.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Pharma Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018

Pharma Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Stocks of pharmaceutical companies are seen continuing their stellar gaining streak next week due to likely buying by domestic mutual funds and foreign institutional investors. Pharmaceutical companies' shares were the flavour of the week, as investors believe that the sector may see a turnaround in earnings growth ahead after witnessing weakness in recent years. This week the Nifty Pharma index rose 8.3%, sharply outperforming the Nifty 50 index, which rose 0.5%.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Metals Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018

Metals Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Stocks of metal and mining companies may rebound next week after having seen a significant correction this week. Steel producers may command more attention as compared to their non-ferrous peers because of a strong outlook for the medium term. The correction in shares of steel producers is overdone considering the robust demand and price outlook for these companies. Shares of Tata Steel will remain in the limelight after recent reports suggested that its proposed joint venture with thyssenkrupp for its European operations might be restructured in favour of improved valuations for the German conglomerate.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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I.T Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018

I.T Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Stocks of information technology companies are likely to gain next week due to weakness in the rupee against the dollar and positive sentiment from Tata Consultancy Services Ltd's share buyback announcement made yesterday. A depreciating rupee aids revenue and margins of Indian IT companies, as they export a major chunk of their services. TCS' board yesterday approved buyback of shares at an over-15% premium to current market price, which also led its stock to a lifetime high of 1,847.10 rupees. Shares of Infosys Ltd also raised yesterday on hopes that the company may follow with its own share buyback offer later this year.

 Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Telecom Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018

Telecom Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Shares of telecom companies are likely to be under pressure next week as market participants increasingly expect the nearly two-year competition in the sector to prolong, which may risk recovery of tariff. The weakened sentiment comes on the back of Reliance Jio earlier this week offering additional 1.5 GB data and a conditional 100-rupee discount for recharges done till the end of the month. While the offer may not have a significant impact on subscriber choices, it may signal that the new entrant may not have given up on its strategy to lower tariff to win subscribers. The competition may instead enter other business of the companies, like wired broadband and direct-to-home television. Completion of merger of Vodafone India with Idea Cellular and Reliance Communications' sale of assets to Reliance Jio will be key triggers for stocks of Idea and Reliance Communications.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Cement Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018

Cement Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Stocks of cement companies are likely to down next week as the recent trend shows a negative bias for stocks, which is likely to continue. Most of the cement stocks are likely to fall next week unless any of them crosses the resistance level. Rising input costs and subdued demand are a concern for cement companies. However, we remain positive on the sector in the long term as they expect cement demand to grow with higher infrastructure spending by central and state governments in the election year Lok Sabha elections are schedule to be held in Apr-May. Forecast of a normal monsoon is also a positive for the cement sector as good monsoon increases rural spending, which in turn leads to a rise in cement demand.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018

Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Shares of banks, especially those in the private sector, are likely to trade lower next week following allegations of irregularities against the top brass at some lenders. Such allegations have led to a view there may be a change in guard in other private banks too. According to media reports, the Reserve Bank of India had delayed the approval of bonuses for heads of private sector lenders, citing performance issues, particularly the rise in bad loans and divergence in reporting of gross non-performing assets. Shares of ICICI Bank eyed next week as it appointed former Supreme Court judge B.N. Srikrishna to conduct an investigation into allegations against its Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer Chanda Kochhar.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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FMCG Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018

FMCG Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Shares of fast moving consumer goods companies are seen extending gains to the next week due to positive investor sentiment on the growth outlook for the sector. The demand growth for consumer goods companies is backed by a huge domestic consumption base, which has made the sector a safe bet in a volatile broader market. In the absence of immediate triggers, consumer goods stocks will also take cues from the broader market, which is likely to show a positive trend next week led by gains in information technology stocks. The Nifty FMCG index is likely to rise for the fourth straight week after gaining 0.6% in the past three weeks.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Oil Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018

Oil Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Shares of state-owned oil marketing companies Indian Oil Corp Ltd, Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd and Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd are remain under pressure, while upstream players Oil and Natural Gas Corp Ltd and Oil India Ltd seen consolidating. Investors will watch out for any word from the government on a likely mechanism to tackle high fuel prices, apart from taking cues from global prices of crude oil and petroleum product and the dollar-rupee exchange rates. According to reports, the government may be considering multiple options to keep retail prices of petrol and diesel in check, which range from asking upstream companies to sell crude oil at a discount to refiners, to asking oil marketing companies to absorb fuel price hikes beyond a threshold. Crude oil futures on domestic and international exchanges are marginally down next week ahead of the meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other producers on Jun 22, where they are expected take a decision about easing supply curbs. Russia and Saudi Arabia have hinted that they might raise production from July, which will weigh on the prices.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Stocks of major capital goods companies are trading in a narrow range with a negative bias next week. Bharat Heavy Electrical Ltd's stock is on a downtrend and there is no expectation of an uptick in the near future. While 2017-18 (Apr-Mar) has been relatively better for BHEL in terms of execution and order flows, going forward, order inflows are likely to remain flattish. On the other hand, improved order execution scenario in a pre-election year is likely to see a 12% increase in Larsen & Toubro Ltd's core business.

  Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018

Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week - 18.06.2018 To 22.06.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 
Shares of automobile companies are likely to rise next week amid positive sentiment for heavyweight stocks such as Maruti Suzuki India Ltd and Tata Motors Ltd. The Nifty Auto index may also take cues from domestic benchmark indices, which are expected to rise, led by gains in information technology companies, after Tata Consultancy Services Ltd fixed its share buyback price at an over 15% premium to the market price. The Eicher Motors Ltd and Hero MotoCorp Ltd as demand outlook for the former's Royal Enfield motorcycle remains positive. Hero Moto Corp's expectation of double-digit growth in demand during the current fiscal started Apr 1 is supporting its stock. Bullishness in the sector is also supported by positive outlook on Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd as its tractor segment is likely to perform well due to forecast of a normal monsoon this year.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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